Nathan Seltzer

Ph.D. Candidate
Department of Sociology
Center for Demography and Ecology
University of Wisconsin-Madison

I am a doctoral candidate in Sociology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and a trainee at the Center for Demography and Ecology. My research examines how economic change shapes socio-demographic processes. My work has been published in Demography and Population & Environment.

My dissertation investigates how long-term structural changes in U.S. labor markets have shifted the underlying mechanics of economic opportunity over the past half century. I document how manufacturing decline in U.S. communities has altered demographic processes including intergenerational mobility, fertility, and cause-specific mortality. I use demographic and computational methods and draw on simulations and large-scale administrative databases to investigate the social world. My work is supported by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, the Social Security Administration, and the National Bureau of Economic Research.

Prior to entering the doctoral program in Sociology at UW-Madison, I received a B.A. in Sociology and French from Tulane University in 2011 and an M.A. in Applied Quantitative Research from New York University in 2014.


  • Beyond the Great Recession: Labor Market Polarization and Ongoing Fertility Decline in the United States [pdf] [pre-print]
    Nathan Seltzer
    Demography, 2019

  • Post-Disaster Fertility: Hurricane Katrina and the Changing Racial Composition of New Orleans [pdf]
    Nathan Seltzer and Jenna Nobles
    Population and Environment, 2017
    Press: [Washington Post]

  • Insomnia in Adults: The Impact of Earlier Cigarette Smoking from Adolescence to Adulthood [pdf]
    Judith Brook, Chenshu Zhang, Nathan Seltzer, and David Brook
    Journal of Addiction Medicine, 2015

  • Adolescent ADHD and Adult Physical and Mental Health, Work Performance, and Financial Stress [pdf]
    Judith Brook, David Brook, Chenshu Zhang, Nathan Seltzer, and Stephen Finch
    Pediatrics, 2013

  • Adult Work Commitment, Financial Stability, and Social Environment as Related to Marijuana Trajectories Beginning in Adolescence [pdf]
    Judith Brook, Jung Yeon Lee, Stephen J. Finch, David W. Brook, and Nathan Seltzer
    Substance Abuse, 2013

  • Longitudinal Determinants of Substance Use Behaviors [pdf]
    Judith Brook, Jung Yeon Lee, Elizabeth Rubenstone, Stephen J. Finch, Nathan Seltzer, and David Brook
    Journal of Urban Health, 2013

  • Personality Characteristics in the Mid-Forties Predict Women’s Smoking Cessation in their Mid-Sixties [pdf]
    Judith Brook, Chenshu Zhang, Elinor Balka, Nathan Seltzer, and David W. Brook
    Psychological Reports, 2013

Working Papers

  • The Mortality Implications of Disappearing Middle Class Jobs

  • Less Trust, Moore Verification: Determining the Accuracy of Third-Party Data through an Innovative Use of Attention Checks [SocArXiv][Replication Code]

Honors and Awards

  • Robert M. and Taissa S. Hauser Research Scholar Award
    University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Sociology

  • NICHD Pre-Doctoral Traineeship
    National Institute of Child Health and Human Development

  • SSA/NBER Research Grant
    Determinants of Life Expectancy by Income and Geography
    Social Security Administration and National Bureau of Economic Research

  • University Fellowship
    University of Wisconsin-Madison

  • Travel Award
    University of Wisconsin-Madison, Center for Demography and Ecology
    2016, 2017


Click here for my CV.



Twitter: @n_seltzer

Google Scholar Profile